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us market notes

April 2025 Market Recap and May Liquidity Outlook

April 2025 Market Recap and May Liquidity Outlook

1. SPX, Treasury Yields, and GOLD After the Trump administration's April 2 reciprocal-tariff announcement, macro- and micro-level uncertainty surged. Funds left equities, the main risk-asset class, and Treasury yields moved differently from Q1 2025. In theory, when equities fall long yields tend to fall too — recession fear lifts
Yiji 04 May 2025
Valuation Check, Jul 29-Aug 2 2024

Valuation Check, Jul 29-Aug 2 2024

The previous Fundamental Check gave an overview of the underlying earnings of the S&P 500 / Nasdaq 100 leaders. Now it is time to look at valuation. Fundamentals and valuation are correlated, but solid fundamentals do not automatically produce a defensible valuation. Fundamentals indicate profitability and growth; valuation tests
Yiji 31 Jul 2024
Fundamental Check, Jul 29-Aug 2 2024

Fundamental Check, Jul 29-Aug 2 2024

1. Recap of Last Week July 22–26, 2024: US equities corrected as Tesla and Google — the first of the Magnificent 7 to report — fell short of expectations. Tesla missed; Google beat Street estimates but fell on declining YouTube ad revenue. Detailed earnings analysis in last week's note.
Yiji 30 Jul 2024
Weekly Market Note, Jul 22-26 2024

Weekly Market Note, Jul 22-26 2024

1. Recap and the View for This Week Week of Jul 15–19, 2024: US equities and the Nasdaq were broadly weak. After the Trump assassination attempt, his election odds surged and a "Trump trade" emerged — rotation out of the tech that dominates S&P 500 / Nasdaq
Yiji 24 Jul 2024

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